Post-FOMC Thoughts – September 16, 2026

Post-FOMC Thoughts – September 16, 2026

Fed Signals the Start of a Modest Tightening Cycle The 2026 PIVOT is Here: The Fed Announces Tighter Monetary Policy As of this morning, Fed Funds futures markets indicated a 93% chance that today’s meeting would result in a 25bp rate hike. The same gauge also...

Post-FOMC Thoughts – September 16, 2026

Fed Signals the Start of a Modest Tightening Cycle The 2026 PIVOT is Here: The Fed Announces Tighter Monetary Policy As of this morning, Fed Funds futures markets indicated a 93% chance that today’s meeting would result in a 25bp rate hike. The same gauge also...

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Investment Outlook – March 2026

Investment Outlook – March 2026

“Stagflation” Those of us of a certain age remember when we first encountered this portmanteau term for stagnant economic growth accompanied by high inflation.  Although the term was originally coined in the UK in the 1960s, during one of Britain’s periods of economic...

The Morning View: March 26, 2026

The Morning View: March 26, 2026

Announced this morning, Initial Jobless Claims were 210,000 for the week ending March 21st, as expected and a slight increase of 5,000 from the previous week.  Continuing Claims were 1,819,000 for the week ending March 14th, less than expected, and a decrease of...

Post-FOMC Thoughts – September 16, 2026

Post-FOMC Thoughts – March 18, 2026

The Decision At the conclusion of today’s FOMC meeting, the Fed Funds rate was held steady at the current range of 3.50%–3.75%. Today’s decision was once again not unanimous, but there was only one dissenting vote. Stephen Miran would have preferred a Fed Funds rate...

The Morning View: March 26, 2026

The Morning View: March 11, 2026

https://vimeo.com/1172563244 In this morning’s data, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.3% in February, as expected.  On an annual basis, it grew 2.4%, also as expected and the same as the annual increase in the previous month. The core rate, which excludes...

Market Update- March 2026

Market Update- March 2026

Summary Global equity markets were positive during the month—with international markets continuing to lead the gains. U.S. Treasury rates fell during the month, with the 10-year rate finishing the month below 4%. The Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s use of...

Retirement Times March 2026

Retirement Times March 2026

March 2026 This month's Retirement Times discusses the following: How Are Plan Sponsors Measuring Participant Success? Employer-Supported Emergency Savings Features: Plan Sponsor Considerations IRS Issues New Guidance on Plan Distribution Safe Harbors Participant...

The Morning View: March 26, 2026

The Morning View: March 6, 2026

https://vimeo.com/1171072532 Announced this morning, the economy lost -92,000 jobs in February, much lower than the increase that was expected.  Reviewing the individual industries, the Financial Activities industry was relatively strong, while the Health Care and...

Market Perspectives- February 2026

Market Perspectives- February 2026

Oil, Inflation, and the Delicate Balance of the Expansion Financial markets entered the final weeks of February in relatively stable condition. Economic growth in the United States remains steady, the labor market continues to support consumer spending, and corporate...

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